Insights, public data, read daily

The small business economy, sliced your way.

Business applications, establishments, wages and survival for the 17 industries in the library, read from the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Labor Statistics every day and measured against what the owner keeps. Every industry is a click from its business models.

Applications, September 2026
535k+4.4% on the same month last year, seasonally adjusted. Census BFS
High-propensity share
28%of the latest month’s filings are likely to become employer businesses. Census BFS
Private establishments, Q1 2026
12M+3.6% on the year; 132M people on payroll. BLS QCEW
Average pay, Q1 2026
$87ka year, +4.0% on the year, private sector. BLS QCEW
This month in the data

Where the numbers moved

Census BFS through September 2026; BLS QCEW through Q1 2026. Checked Oct 30, 2026; checked again every day.

Industry explorer

Every shelf in the library, measured

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New business applications over the past twelve months, against the twelve before. Where people are placing bets now. Source: Census Business Formation Statistics, by sector, seasonally adjusted.

Restaurants, bars, caterers, food trucks, bakeries and breweries

Food & Beverage

Founders are heading in: 328k new business applications in accommodation & food services over the past twelve months, up 12.6% on the year before, behind the national pace.

More doors opened than closed: 744k establishments in Q1 2026, 1.9% more than a year earlier while pay rose 2.9%, slower than the private sector overall. Expect more competition and pricier labor.

The typical business runs on a mid-sized crew, 16.5 people on payroll at about $29k a year each.

51 in 100 are still open five years in, about the national figure. Across the 13 smbnest models here the median owner keeps 18% of revenue; Food Truck leads at 26%.

744kestablishments, Q1 2026+1.9% on the year
12Mpeople employed+0.4% on the year
$29kavg annual wage+2.9% on the year
16.5people per business
328kapplications, past 12 months+12.6% on the year
51%open after five years
New business applications, monthlyAccommodation & food services, through September 2026
8.2k16k24k33k27k202420252026
Business formation

The whole country, month by month

Americans filed 6.3M new business applications over the past twelve months, +15.0% on the twelve before. About 28% of the latest month's filings are high-propensity: applications the Census Bureau expects to become employer businesses, the ones with payroll.

Latest month, September 2026
534,947applications, seasonally adjusted, +4.4% on the same month last year
147,331high-propensity applications
12Mprivate establishments in Q1 2026, +3.6% on the year; average pay $87k, +4.0%
U.S. business applications per month, seasonally adjusted; dashed: high-propensity156k311k467k622k535k202420252026
Read from the source, every day
U.S. Census BureauBusiness Formation Statistics: business applications by sector, monthly, seasonally adjusted, via the St. Louis Fed’s FRED mirror. Latest month September 2026.
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsQuarterly Census of Employment and Wages: establishments, employment and wages by NAICS industry, latest quarter Q1 2026. Business Employment Dynamics: establishment survival by sector, annual table.
smbnest Owner Earnings IndexMedian owner margin and revenue band per category, from the 156 business models in the library. The index →

Each category sums the NAICS industries its models sit in, not the whole sector; year-over-year figures use only the industries that disclosed a prior-year value. Applications are published by sector, so they describe the sector(s) a shelf sits in. General market information, not advice for any specific business.

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